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2007-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Central Michigan Chippewas Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McKinney * 36 9-14 0-1 5-6 9 1 2 1 5 23 17 -
C. Yelder * 29 6-12 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 5 14 2 -
R. Paradise * 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
J. Hughes * 21 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 8 5 -
Z. Pancratz * 20 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
B. Kelley 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
S. Logan 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
B. Rand 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
E. Grafel 9 1-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. Oruche 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Lochner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Central Michigan Chippewas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Watson * 35 6-13 2-3 6-9 5 3 1 0 2 20 14 -
S. Barrett * 33 3-10 0-1 6-8 6 2 1 3 4 12 10 -
R. Walters * 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Bitzer * 21 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 4 0 1 11 10 -
M. Spica * 19 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 0 3 7 3 -
R. Harman 29 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Blevins 22 3-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 3 0 2 6 5 -
A. Smyth 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Richie 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Jordan 2 0-0 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter