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2007-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 71.5% 28.5% -
Margin 72.7% 27.3% -5.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 38 3-6 1-2 1-1 1 3 1 0 4 8 3 -
J. Crawford * 34 4-7 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
B. Perry * 29 7-10 1-3 3-3 6 2 0 1 1 18 16 -
R. Morris * 23 1-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 3 4 4 5 -
D. Jasper * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
J. Meeks 36 5-9 3-6 2-3 2 2 2 0 3 15 9 -
L. Obrzut 17 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 0 9 7 -
S. Thomas 13 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 2 2 0 2 2 5 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster * 37 7-12 4-8 3-4 7 3 4 0 2 21 21 -
D. Byars * 35 10-22 3-11 3-4 6 2 3 0 6 26 9 -
A. Gordon * 32 3-9 2-8 0-1 0 3 1 0 3 8 0 -
R. Neltner * 31 3-4 0-1 2-2 6 1 2 1 0 8 14 -
D. Cage * 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 3 5 -
T. Skuchas 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
J. Beal 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
G. Drake 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Metcalfe 3 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter