Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver * | 39 | 13-28 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 7 | - |
| J. Thorpe * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Toney * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Lafayette * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Dowell * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Mosley | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Lee | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Malone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hunt * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| R. Dozier * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| J. Sandridge * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Wade * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| W. Kemp | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Anderson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Mack | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Allen | 10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Cooper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. McGrady | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Willis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter