Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mccants | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
* = starter