Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boykin Jr. | 38 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| J. Wilson | 37 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Bazy | 34 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | - |
| K. Landry | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| S. Sir | 30 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| N. Geiser | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Green | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Larson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 42 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Durr | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Ball | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Taylor | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Morris | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Davis | 24 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| A. Zamora | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Rush | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Malloy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter