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2007-02-25

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (1.3 off)
Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wright * 33 6-12 0-0 0-4 7 0 2 1 2 12 8 -
T. Hansbrough * 28 10-15 0-0 2-4 4 0 2 0 2 22 11 -
W. Ellington * 25 6-14 3-7 2-2 5 6 1 0 1 17 14 -
T. Lawson * 23 3-7 1-2 0-1 5 9 0 0 1 7 13 -
R. Terry * 22 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 6 4 -
M. Ginyard 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 3 0 1 2 8 -
B. Frasor 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 7 -
D. Thompson 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
W. Miller 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Green 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
A. Stepheson 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Q. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Strawberry * 36 12-18 2-3 1-1 4 4 0 0 0 27 17 -
G. Vasquez * 32 4-10 0-2 2-3 3 6 1 1 6 10 5 -
M. Jones * 29 8-17 1-6 1-2 4 1 2 1 2 18 7 -
J. Gist * 28 5-11 0-1 2-2 9 2 0 1 1 12 12 -
E. Ibekwe * 24 1-4 0-0 7-8 8 0 1 2 1 9 15 -
E. Hayes 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 1 5 0 5 -
B. Osby 18 3-4 0-0 5-7 9 1 0 0 1 11 16 -
W. Bowers 10 0-1 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
P. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter