Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Laudermill * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Sosa * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Johnson * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Clark | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Caracter | 20 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. McGee | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Farley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Scott | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dyson * | 37 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| J. Adrien * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| H. Thabeet * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Price * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Robinson * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Austrie | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Wiggins | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Kelly | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mandeldove | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter