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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% -
Bradley-Terry 98.6% 1.4% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -62.9 (55.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Log Adjusted 89.7% 10.3% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 45 4-15 3-9 10-10 6 4 1 0 4 21 13 -
M. Bouldin * 44 8-11 0-0 5-7 4 4 0 0 0 21 18 -
J. Pargo * 41 3-7 0-1 3-5 2 5 3 0 4 9 8 -
A. Kuso * 20 4-9 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 3 2 8 11 -
S. Mallon * 13 1-2 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Pendergraft 34 3-6 1-1 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
M. Downs 25 6-12 4-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 16 7 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kellogg * 43 9-18 6-12 2-2 7 5 1 0 8 26 13 -
D. Cavic * 39 2-4 2-4 0-0 11 0 2 0 1 6 14 -
J. Dukes * 38 6-13 2-3 1-6 7 1 0 1 3 15 8 -
M. Quezada * 38 6-15 2-6 7-7 3 2 2 1 4 21 10 -
A. Wiggins Jr. * 27 2-5 0-0 3-6 4 2 0 2 4 7 6 -
J. Byrd 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Hernandez 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
V. Polakovic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter