Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Campbell | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Rueter | 36 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Bowie | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Nevels | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Pillow | 32 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| K. Cannon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Haymaker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 40 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Blaszczynski | 39 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Gray | 33 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| R. Bathie | 32 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Boyce | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Verner | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Shanks | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter