Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Lavender * | 35 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| J. Cage * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Cole * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Doellman * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Brown | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Duncan | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Wolf | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Love | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Little * | 34 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| J. Binnie * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| N. Plummer | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter