Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | -7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -8 (67-75). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Lavender * | 35 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| J. Cage * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Cole * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Doellman * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Brown | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Duncan | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Wolf | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Love | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Little * | 34 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| J. Binnie * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| N. Plummer | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter