Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.