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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 34 2-3 0-1 4-4 4 3 2 1 2 8 13 -
K. Barber * 28 6-8 0-0 5-8 10 1 1 1 1 17 21 -
D. Reed * 28 1-8 0-4 6-6 4 5 1 0 5 8 5 -
F. Tolbert * 25 5-11 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 12 4 -
J. Dollard * 23 3-5 0-0 4-8 3 0 2 0 0 10 10 -
Q. Prowell 29 7-8 3-4 0-0 5 2 2 1 2 17 17 -
R. Barrett 23 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
K. Lewis 10 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hendrix * 30 5-9 0-0 7-10 13 2 1 0 1 17 23 -
A. Gee * 28 3-10 1-2 5-7 3 1 2 1 3 12 6 -
J. Davidson * 24 6-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 1 1 13 11 -
B. Hollinger * 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Steele * 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Riley 35 5-11 2-7 1-2 0 0 3 1 2 13 4 -
M. Torrance 27 5-10 2-3 2-2 1 3 2 0 2 14 8 -
D. Jemison 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
J. Tubbs 15 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter