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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (20.7 off)

Actual: Long Beach State Beach +25 (102-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Calegari 30 4-8 2-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
C. Portz 25 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 6 -1 -
V. Oliver 24 4-9 2-2 5-5 5 1 0 0 1 15 11 -
T. Juillerat 23 1-2 0-0 5-6 5 3 0 0 2 7 11 -
K. Brucculeri 22 3-6 2-4 2-4 1 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
R. Marentez 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
D. Carter 15 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 5 8 3 -
B. Ellis 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
F. Henry-Ala 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Warmerdam 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
M. Boone 6 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 28 7-12 3-6 2-3 3 6 3 0 4 19 15 -
A. Nixon 28 10-12 3-3 4-4 4 3 0 0 0 27 22 -
K. Houston 28 8-12 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 16 11 -
S. Byrd 27 7-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 15 14 -
L. Darby 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Ricks 18 2-3 0-0 4-6 4 2 4 0 0 8 15 -
M. Dawson 17 3-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 1 6 5 -
A. Gant 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
A. Lazdauskas 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
T. Island 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Free 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Fleming 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter