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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 62
@
UT Arlington Mavericks 69
2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks UT Arlington Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.8 ✓ (6.2 off)

Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Fonzie 34 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
A. Miller 31 6-13 0-1 3-5 6 3 1 2 1 15 13 -
J. Alexander 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
K. Hardaway 27 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
T. Guy 19 5-11 1-4 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 14 10 -
W. Johnson 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 2 4 -
M. Kingsley 15 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
C. Ragland 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 4 2 -
S. Weaver 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Jacobs 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Dykes 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Guignard 40 4-12 3-10 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 11 2 -
B. Long 35 2-9 0-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 4 -4 -
A. Vereen 30 5-9 0-0 9-15 13 1 2 0 1 19 25 -
L. Posey 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
T. Moffitt 25 3-5 1-2 3-3 10 2 2 0 0 10 19 -
T. Henry 24 2-6 0-0 5-7 6 3 1 0 3 9 10 -
M. Read 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. DeWalt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter