Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -18 (50-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McBride * | 38 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Randle * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Frazier * | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| W. Carter * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Brock | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Arnold | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Hicks | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Claxton * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Cornley * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Hassell * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Walker | 35 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Morrissey | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Bogetic | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Suotamo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Norwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Leiner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Obradovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter