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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin * 40 4-12 2-3 8-10 2 5 2 0 6 18 9 -
A.J. Abrams * 38 2-6 2-4 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 7 3 -
K. Durant * 38 9-14 5-6 9-10 10 0 2 3 3 32 30 -
D. James * 34 2-6 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 2 1 7 15 -
J. Mason * 29 0-4 0-2 2-4 10 1 0 0 0 2 9 -
C. Atchley 10 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Pittman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Winder 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Godbold * 33 3-10 2-7 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 9 8 -
M. Neal * 29 2-6 1-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
N. Carter * 22 4-8 0-0 5-8 3 1 2 0 0 13 11 -
L. Longar * 22 1-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
B. Maze * 17 4-10 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 8 -2 -
T. Griffin 34 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 2 1 2 6 -
A. Johnson 23 5-11 4-9 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 14 9 -
T. Crocker 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter