Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Miller * | 40 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Bell * | 40 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Hernandez * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. McGuire * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Q. Hosley * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Blair | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nelson * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Hawkins * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Ingram * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| H. Passos * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Fisher * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Davis | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Iti | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Knauber | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Gibson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter