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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs New Mexico State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (5.5 off)
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -

Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Miller * 40 5-11 5-11 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 15 9 -
K. Bell * 40 1-10 0-4 0-0 1 10 1 1 2 2 3 -
H. Hernandez * 35 4-11 3-10 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 11 6 -
D. McGuire * 34 4-10 1-3 6-10 7 2 0 1 0 15 15 -
Q. Hosley * 33 4-13 0-2 6-6 7 1 3 0 2 14 10 -
A. Blair 17 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
S. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Nelson * 35 7-12 0-0 2-4 11 2 1 0 1 16 17 -
J. Hawkins * 33 4-10 0-2 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 11 8 -
E. Ingram * 30 4-9 3-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 13 4 -
H. Passos * 28 0-0 0-0 4-9 5 1 1 1 4 4 8 -
D. Fisher * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 0 2 -
S. Davis 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Iti 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 2 6 -
T. Knauber 14 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 9 5 -
J. Gibson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter