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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 23.2% 76.8% +6.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wilson * 32 1-8 0-3 4-4 3 2 1 1 4 6 1 -
R. Martin * 31 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
M. Braeuer * 27 3-7 2-6 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 10 5 -
K. Bradley * 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
P.J. Couisnard 29 6-10 0-1 4-4 12 1 0 1 3 16 17 -
S. Ogirri 23 0-3 0-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
G. Mekel 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
W. Preadom 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Thomasson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
R. Bradley 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Funk * 34 5-11 1-3 5-6 0 5 0 0 3 16 7 -
A. Tolliver * 32 4-10 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 3 1 11 12 -
D. Watts * 29 5-8 5-7 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
N. Porter * 25 5-8 1-2 6-8 4 3 0 0 3 17 13 -
I. Miles * 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
J. Dotzler 19 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
N. Bahe 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
P. Hibma 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
M. Gakou 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Nengsu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sitzmann 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter