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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 16.0% 84.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Anderson * 23 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 0 4 2 6 -
M. Kline * 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
W. Figures * 21 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
C. Kaba * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Lowe * 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
K. Archibeque 24 3-6 0-0 3-7 8 0 0 3 2 9 12 -
D. Birden 20 3-10 1-2 1-4 6 0 0 1 4 8 1 -
D. Moore 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
S. Taibi 16 6-9 4-6 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 18 9 -
J. Mason 13 2-4 0-2 1-4 3 2 5 0 3 5 8 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 4 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ellis * 31 3-4 0-1 2-3 2 11 3 0 5 8 15 -
M. Dlouhy * 24 3-9 0-4 1-2 6 0 2 0 2 7 4 -
A. Strait * 24 6-11 0-0 3-5 8 1 1 0 0 15 14 -
M. Chavez * 17 0-6 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 0 -2 -
S. Mayes * 12 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Rundles 26 3-8 3-6 4-6 4 1 1 0 0 13 11 -
J. Hasquet 25 7-12 0-2 2-2 14 0 2 3 2 16 21 -
M. Martin 13 4-6 3-5 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 12 9 -
R. Staudacher 11 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 9 6 -
K. Sharp 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Chase 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
D. Vanderjagt 3 1-2 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
G. Spurgetis 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Swift 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter