Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bassett * | 34 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 16 | - |
| L. Stemler * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Wilmont * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D.J. White | 37 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | - |
| E. Suhr | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Shaw | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| B. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 39 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Walton * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Gray * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Joseph | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter