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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +7 (50-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 40 4-11 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 10 6 -
J. Conway 37 3-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 2 0 3 9 10 -
L. Gunn 33 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 6 3 -
K. Koncz 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -3 -
M. Strittmatter 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 4 6 1 -
L. Owings 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
K. Steuerer 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 3 2 0 -
N. Savage 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Finley 6 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Carter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 37 6-11 0-2 8-9 4 1 2 0 3 20 13 -
J. Goffredo 36 3-10 0-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
E. Harris 30 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 3 1 6 12 -
B. Unger 27 2-3 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 4 5 5 -
J. Lin 21 0-2 0-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Pusar 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
B. Darcy 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 3 3 7 -
J. Lambert 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Magnarelli 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter