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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% -
Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Horford * 33 5-10 0-0 3-5 9 2 0 0 2 13 12 -
C. Brewer * 32 3-8 1-6 4-6 4 2 1 0 4 11 6 -
T. Green * 31 1-7 0-3 4-5 2 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
L. Humphrey * 24 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 5 -1 -
J. Noah * 21 2-4 0-0 0-3 3 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
C. Richard 21 6-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
W. Hodge 18 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 -
J. Mitchell 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Speights 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
B. Swanson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Werner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lazare * 37 3-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 1 0 2 7 8 -
G. Temple * 36 4-6 1-3 8-9 8 5 2 1 5 17 22 -
T. Martin * 36 6-14 2-7 4-6 3 3 0 0 2 18 8 -
M. Rolle * 31 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 6 5 -
T. Mitchell * 30 4-8 1-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 6 11 3 -
D. Mason 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 5 8 -
C. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Voogd 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter