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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Anslinger * 37 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
B. Strickland * 27 4-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
S. Ely * 27 1-4 0-1 4-4 5 1 2 0 3 6 7 -
M. Webster * 22 6-10 2-3 7-8 7 0 1 0 3 21 16 -
D. Granger * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Holsinger 35 3-5 2-4 3-4 2 4 0 0 3 11 9 -
A. Stalbergs 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Couisnard 15 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Petty 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
V. Gomez 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Morrow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum * 37 5-10 0-2 5-5 2 6 1 0 0 15 14 -
R. Falker * 35 13-15 0-0 4-9 7 1 0 2 2 30 23 -
T. Young * 31 3-12 1-5 10-12 3 5 3 0 0 17 16 -
B. Mullins * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 0 -
M. Shaw * 18 3-4 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
T. Green 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
W. Clemmons 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Bone 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Boyle 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Acquah 0 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C.J. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter