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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Moore * 34 3-9 1-3 3-5 3 7 1 0 2 10 10 -
J. Tunnell * 27 4-7 1-1 5-6 4 0 0 1 3 14 9 -
T. Wurtz * 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 1 5 -
M. Stinson * 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
C. Holmstrom 30 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
A. Arnold 30 1-3 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 3 3 9 -
T. McCoy 28 1-4 0-1 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
H. Marshall 13 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
M. Yelovich 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -1 -
R. Trudeau 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Franklin * 35 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 11 12 -
J. Crouch * 26 5-11 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 13 5 -
J.J. Tauai * 22 5-7 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 12 10 -
M. Salley * 20 2-4 0-1 1-2 8 1 1 0 1 5 10 -
Z. Andrews * 20 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 10 8 -
D. Ruffin 36 5-12 2-7 0-0 7 6 0 0 1 12 12 -
D. Adams 22 1-7 1-7 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
A. Warren 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 7 7 -
S. Singh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Phillips 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Lavin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter