Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -14 (81-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fazekas * | 36 | 12-19 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| R. Sessions * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Shiloh * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Ikovlev * | 28 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Kemp * | 23 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| T. Hanson | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Burleson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. McGee | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Fields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lane * | 37 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Karl * | 35 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Nelson * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Wilson * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Robinson * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Larry | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Thomas | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Hallberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter