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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.9% 17.1% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -14 (81-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas * 36 12-19 1-3 3-7 8 2 0 2 0 28 21 -
R. Sessions * 35 5-12 0-1 7-8 3 6 2 0 2 17 14 -
K. Shiloh * 34 4-10 2-5 2-2 9 3 1 0 0 12 15 -
D. Ikovlev * 28 5-6 4-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 14 14 -
M. Kemp * 23 4-10 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 10 -1 -
T. Hanson 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
L. Burleson 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. McGee 11 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
D. Ellis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Fields 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Lane * 37 5-8 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 13 6 -
C. Karl * 35 5-16 2-9 7-7 4 3 0 1 3 19 8 -
M. Nelson * 32 7-11 0-0 5-6 10 1 1 0 2 19 18 -
K. Wilson * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
S. Robinson * 15 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
R. Larry 29 5-9 0-1 5-7 6 2 1 1 1 15 15 -
A. Thomas 20 1-4 0-1 5-6 1 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
M. Bauscher 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Tiedeman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hallberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter