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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.8% 30.2% -
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 39 3-12 2-6 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 8 3 -
C. Rhodes * 33 2-6 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 2 3 7 4 -
R. Delk * 32 8-12 6-9 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 22 11 -
D. Slater * 29 9-20 0-2 0-0 8 3 6 0 0 18 15 -
R. Delk * 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 3 0 0 2 5 -
B. Stewart 17 3-5 3-5 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
B. Hansbrough 17 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 7 9 -
J. Varnado 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Stelmach 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Humphrey * 37 5-10 2-5 1-1 3 6 1 0 1 13 12 -
L. Stukes * 35 7-12 5-7 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 21 18 -
S. Gaines * 34 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 5 3 2 3 10 14 -
T. Brown * 30 7-12 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 7 17 4 -
D. Bliss * 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 6 8 -
S. Newman 22 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 9 11 -
T. Woodbury 12 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 8 7 -
R. Singleton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
A. Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Butler 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter