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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 79.7% 20.3% -
Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -16 (71-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hoskins * 31 7-10 1-2 6-8 5 4 1 0 2 21 19 -
C. Stewart * 30 5-10 3-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
L. Harris * 29 3-9 1-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 8 -1 -
A. Wright * 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
L. Colon * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Martin 31 4-9 2-5 9-11 3 3 0 0 2 19 14 -
B. Young 23 4-6 0-1 5-6 4 1 2 0 1 13 13 -
J. Maybank 19 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
S. Afeli 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
D. Kent 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Merriewether 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Roby * 36 8-17 2-5 8-11 6 2 2 0 4 26 15 -
D. Coleman * 30 4-6 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 3 6 8 12 -
M. King-Stockton * 20 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 2 1 5 7 -
J. Williams * 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
X. Silas 26 5-9 3-5 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
K. Bay 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
D. Thorne II 16 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 15 1-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 0 0 3 8 -
S. Kowal 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Van Burck 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter