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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson * 38 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 3 5 -
B. Lopez * 35 11-16 0-2 1-1 9 2 0 1 2 23 17 -
L. Hill * 34 4-9 2-4 3-4 3 3 2 1 3 13 10 -
F. Washington * 29 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 4 0 1 4 6 7 -
R. Lopez * 27 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 3 2 2 1 -
T. Finger 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
L. Fields 13 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
K. Brown 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Weatherby 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 36 6-12 4-7 4-7 6 1 0 0 1 20 14 -
D. Collison * 35 4-13 0-1 2-2 2 6 5 0 2 10 8 -
L. Mata-Real * 33 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 0 8 9 -
J. Shipp * 25 3-8 1-3 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 8 6 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 23 5-9 1-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 11 12 -
A. Aboya 21 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
M. Roll 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 6 6 -
R. Westbrook 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
J. Keefe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter