Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Young | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| A. Ainge | 30 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | - |
| L. Cummard | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Burgess | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Rose | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 17 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Balderson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Murdock | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Ivanovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. MacGregor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 39 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| N. LeSure | 39 | 12-21 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | - |
| M. Abukar | 34 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| J. Habel | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Wade | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Spain | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Lamb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter