Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +12 (56-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.