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2007-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Brown Bears +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Montgomery 37 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 5 0 1 4 11 9 -
B. Loscalzo 35 4-9 2-4 1-1 1 5 2 0 4 11 6 -
J. Baumann 32 5-9 2-4 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 14 10 -
J. Bova 21 2-4 2-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
B. Nwachukwu 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 2 5 -
K. Bulger 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
N. Scott 14 1-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
K.J. Matsui 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Armstrong 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
L. Nolan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Sweet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McAndrew 40 2-5 1-4 7-8 10 3 0 0 1 12 19 -
D. Huffman 38 7-13 6-12 2-2 1 1 3 0 2 22 12 -
M. Becker 37 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 2 10 -
M. MacDonald 34 4-12 1-3 4-5 1 1 1 2 1 13 5 -
C. Skrelja 24 2-7 1-3 5-6 7 1 1 0 1 10 11 -
S. Friske 17 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 4 5 3 -
S. Gruber 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Manhanga 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Aldridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mullery 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter