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2007-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -
Bradley-Terry 75.5% 24.5% -
Margin 82.4% 17.6% -8.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.2% 62.8% -
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +10 (53-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder * 40 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 2 2 0 2 7 6 -
L. Gunn * 33 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 4 -2 -
J. Conway * 20 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
K. Steuerer * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Z. Finley * 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
K. Koncz 29 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Strittmatter 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Owings 18 6-9 3-3 0-0 7 0 1 2 0 15 16 -
P. Buczak 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 2 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett * 39 2-5 0-1 3-4 7 1 0 4 1 7 13 -
J. Ball * 38 4-7 0-0 6-8 10 1 2 1 1 14 20 -
L. Pattman * 26 6-11 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 14 10 -
D. Biber * 23 3-8 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 7 0 -
D. Mosley * 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Meyer 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
R. Pride 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
M. Sanders 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 1 -

* = starter