Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.