Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bush | 37 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Agwumaro | 34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Moseley | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| B. Thomas | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| B. Holder | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Williams | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Kiel | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Kollo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Johnson | 34 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Hardaway | 23 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Alexander | 23 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Guy | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Lewis | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Ragland | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Miller | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Weaver | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Dykes | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter