Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Foust | 31 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Johnson | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Willoughby | 30 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Perry | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Pearson, Jr. | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P. Paradoski | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. White | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Drew | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Maxwell | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Rhodes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Peterson | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| R. Gulina | 30 | 6-17 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| J. Merritt | 30 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Black | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. West | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Friday | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter