Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 34 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Ingram | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Howell | 32 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Johnson | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| F. Valencia | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Amos | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Young | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Kent | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Ross | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - |
| C. Yelder | 30 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Paradise | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. McKinney | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Z. Pancratz | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Logan | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Rand | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Kelley | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Q. Lipkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Grafel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter