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2007-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (0.2 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Reed * 37 8-19 4-11 4-5 5 3 0 0 2 24 11 -
C. Bruff * 37 7-15 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 4 14 3 -
J. Bernal * 31 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 3 6 0 0 12 19 -
J. Sheets * 28 2-7 2-3 2-3 2 7 1 0 3 8 8 -
O. Ahvenniemi * 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 3 0 4 11 -
M. Socoby 23 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
P. Tchekane Bofia 20 4-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 11 10 -
J. Cook 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene * 37 4-9 2-6 1-2 1 9 2 0 4 11 10 -
C. Pugh * 36 6-8 4-6 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 20 11 -
M. Housman * 34 4-10 2-2 2-2 8 1 2 1 2 12 12 -
T. Young * 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 8 9 -
J. Fry * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
B. Hodges 28 7-13 2-7 3-3 2 1 2 0 1 19 10 -
U. Eshietedoho 15 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Spadafora 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter