Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (56-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jefferson | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| V. Lucas-Perry | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Johnson | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Bannister | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Haynes | 0 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gordon | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Simpson | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Bjork | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Crutcher | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter