Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +16 (82-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wells | 39 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Banks | 36 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Wedel | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Jones | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| S. Morgan | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Y. Banks | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Little | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Ajasin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gant | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Farmer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Williams | 36 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Watson | 34 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| K. Davis | 34 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -1 | - |
| R. Young | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Bell | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Wooden | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Sturns | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Stewart | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Mangrum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter