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2007-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% -
Bradley-Terry 75.2% 24.8% -
Margin 81.4% 18.6% -8.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts * 36 4-7 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
G. Paulus * 36 3-7 3-4 5-6 2 6 1 0 9 14 7 -
D. Nelson * 35 7-16 0-5 2-5 6 3 0 0 3 16 6 -
J. Scheyer * 27 5-6 3-3 5-5 6 1 1 0 2 18 18 -
D. McClure * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
G. Henderson 18 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
L. Thomas 16 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Pocius 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Zoubek 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hammonds * 37 6-11 2-5 0-1 5 9 2 0 2 14 17 -
V. Hamilton * 32 7-15 0-2 0-1 0 1 2 0 2 14 0 -
J. Mays * 29 3-7 0-1 4-9 7 2 2 2 1 10 15 -
S. Perry * 26 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 3 1 3 8 -
T. Booker * 20 5-9 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 1 5 13 5 -
K.C. Rivers 35 4-8 3-4 0-0 5 2 3 1 0 11 14 -
D. Potter 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
R. Sykes 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter