Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -7 (81-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Green * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. McCurdy * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Geiser * | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 37 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| S. Sir | 29 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Landry | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| T. Bazy | 16 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Larson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rundles * | 35 | 8-18 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| A. Strait * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Hasquet * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| B. Ellis * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Dlouhy * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Mayes | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Chase | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| G. Spurgetis | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Chavez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Sharp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter