Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 31 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Brunson | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Lawson | 22 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Newton | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Haynie | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Walker | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| K. Miller | 33 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 14 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Snell | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Scott | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter