Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +26 (111-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shields | 34 | 6-23 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 21 | -4 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Thompson | 13 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 23 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Snow | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Phillips | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Byears | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 11-18 | 6-9 | 9-9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 29 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 9 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 7 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Snell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Moises Pinto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 2 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| O. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter