Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +13 (100-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Miller | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Moises Pinto | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Snell | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bird | 34 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Jackson | 31 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 12-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 25 | - |
| I. Castro | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| J. Burse | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| B. Lennox | 25 | 9-11 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| W. Palmer | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Robinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Wright | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Fluker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter