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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson * 33 3-8 0-0 2-2 15 0 0 2 4 8 13 -
R. Hendrix * 31 3-10 0-0 4-6 10 2 2 2 2 10 14 -
R. Steele * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 3 3 -
B. Hollinger * 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
A. Gee * 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Riley 36 5-8 4-7 1-2 7 0 0 0 3 15 11 -
J. Tubbs 28 3-7 1-4 0-2 3 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
D. Jemison 20 2-4 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 2 3 7 12 -
M. Torrance 17 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 8 1 -
Y. Coleman 7 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 37 6-15 2-7 2-2 7 1 6 0 0 16 15 -
C. Lofton * 33 6-22 3-15 5-6 5 1 2 0 2 20 4 -
R. Smith * 32 4-10 1-2 0-1 3 3 4 0 1 9 8 -
W. Chism * 26 5-14 1-5 0-1 6 2 2 3 1 11 9 -
D. Bradshaw * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Childress 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 2 8 -
D. Crews 19 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 2 2 7 7 -
J. Howell 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Tabb 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter