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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 70.4% 29.6% -
Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Log Adjusted 81.9% 18.1% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Reynolds 35 2-7 1-3 8-11 8 4 3 0 2 13 19 -
S. Singletary 34 7-16 1-6 2-4 3 1 2 0 4 17 3 -
T. Soroye 27 2-3 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 4 2 4 10 -
A. Joseph 27 2-9 2-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Cain 25 1-3 0-0 5-6 2 0 1 3 3 7 7 -
M. Diane 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
J. Tucker 16 3-6 3-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
S. Tat 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Harris 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Mikalauskas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Pettinella 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Asbury 38 3-5 1-2 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 11 12 -
D. Collins 33 4-12 0-0 3-5 14 3 1 1 3 11 15 -
A. Harris 33 4-16 3-7 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 11 0 -
K. Copeland 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
J. McClinton 22 4-11 4-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 14 5 -
J. Graham 21 2-4 0-0 1-4 5 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
D. Clemente 17 3-5 2-3 0-2 3 1 0 1 2 8 6 -
J. Dews 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter