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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 36 5-13 1-5 2-2 3 2 2 0 5 13 2 -
C. Landry * 33 3-6 0-0 3-9 6 0 2 0 3 9 8 -
C. Kramer * 33 7-13 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 19 12 -
G. Watt * 24 4-6 1-2 1-1 2 2 1 1 2 10 8 -
K. Grant * 11 0-5 0-2 1-6 1 0 2 0 3 1 -4 -
T. Crump 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Green 16 0-2 0-2 1-3 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
C. Lutz 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Uchendu 7 0-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
B. Riddell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 37 6-9 0-0 6-7 4 7 0 0 1 18 19 -
A. Haluska * 32 4-12 2-7 1-2 3 5 4 1 0 11 12 -
C. Tate * 25 3-3 0-0 5-6 10 1 3 0 2 11 20 -
K. Looby * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
T. Freeman * 22 2-5 2-3 8-12 1 1 2 0 5 14 8 -
M. Henderson 23 4-5 1-2 1-2 1 4 0 0 5 10 5 -
S. Gorney 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
J.R. Angle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Wessels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Bohall 2 0-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Crawford 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

* = starter