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Evansville Purple Aces 79
@
Drake Bulldogs 82
2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% - ✗

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 39 8-12 8-12 5-5 3 4 0 0 4 29 20 -
K. Anslinger 39 2-11 2-10 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 8 2 -
B. Strickland 33 4-8 0-0 1-3 15 0 0 1 3 9 14 -
M. Webster 28 6-12 0-1 4-5 7 2 1 0 1 16 13 -
J. Couisnard 17 1-4 0-1 1-3 2 1 1 1 3 3 1 -
A. Stalbergs 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Granger 15 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
S. Ely 9 3-4 1-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
J. Petty 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Morrow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stewart 34 4-8 0-0 2-2 9 7 1 0 1 10 18 -
J. Young 32 3-12 3-9 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 10 3 -
A. Calvin 31 5-12 2-3 4-5 1 2 0 0 0 16 7 -
N. Grant 28 9-15 0-0 7-11 7 4 3 0 1 25 23 -
L. Houston 27 2-4 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
K. Korver 24 3-8 3-8 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 11 4 -
N. Works 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 11 2 0 3 1 2 15 -
J. Cox 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter