Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Foster | 33 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Cage | 28 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Byars | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Neltner | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Gordon | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Skuchas | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Beal | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| G. Drake | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 29 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| R. Delk | 28 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Slater | 26 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| R. Delk | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Stewart | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Varnado | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter